Summer box office predictions
A movie needs to make between 2 and 2.5 times it’s budget to break even.
break even: the money made = the cost to make
So if a movie costs $1000 to produce, it needs to make $2000-$2500 to break even
If a movie doesn’t make much money, it’s natural to say: “It bombed” or “It’s a bomb”
It may bomb <-> It may be a hit
Predicting phrases:
I’m sure _ = I’m confident _ = It will definitely _
I bet_ = It will probably
I think _ = I’d say_
I guess _
I suppose _
Perhaps _ = It may/could/might_
Do you think these movies will be a bomb or a hit? Why?
Who will the movie appeal to?
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Release: June 30th
Budget: $295 million
Are you a fan of the series?
Who is Indiana Jones?
The 4th movie, Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (2008), got OK reviews but it made $790 million globally.
Many people said it’s the worst of the series.
The Flash
Release: June 16th
Budget: $190 million
What do you think this movie is about?
The flash is a superhero who can run really fast. He can run so fast that he can time travel.
He tries to go back into the past to save his mother before she died.
Cons:
The last few movies in this series bombed (Justice League, Black Adam, Shazam 2, Wonder Woman 2)
The star, Ezra Miller, got in trouble for drugs and fighting just after they finished filming the movie. He won’t do any interviews to promote the movie
Pros:
First appearance of Supergirl since 1984
Michael Keaton, the Batman from the 90’s appears in the film
Will this be a hit or a bomb?
Barbie
Release: August 11th
Budget: $100 million
What is Barbie?
Why is it not popular in Japan?
What’s the difference between Licca chan and Barbie?
Do you think it will be a hit or bomb?
Oppenheimer
Release: not decided in Japan
Budget: $100 million
What do you think this movie is about?
J Robert Oppenheimer was the lead scientist when the US invented the nuclear bomb.
When the war finished he immediately quit his job and became an opponent of Nuclear Weapons.
The film has the biggest explosion ever created for a film
Do you want to watch this movie in the cinema?
The director, Christopher Nolan is famous for his previously successful movies; Batman, Dunkirk, Inception and Tenet.
They were made for Warner Bros. Nolan got angry at Warner Bros. for releasing Tenet on their streaming service at the same time as the cinemas so he moved to Universal and demanded:
$100 million budget
$100 million for marketing
The studio can’t release any other films 3 weeks before or after his film
Will this movie be a hit or bomb?
Let’s debate!
Soft Disagreeing phrases:
That’s a good point but_
I don’t know about that
I’m not sure if I agree
I see where you’re coming from however _
Strong Disagreeing Phrases:
No way!
What are you talking about?
That’s ridiculous!
I disagree
Oppenheimer and Barbie will be released on the same day in the US. Which do you think will make more money? (I will disagree with you)
The new Mission Impossible made $383 million globally after 3 weeks.
Do you think Indiana Jones made more or less than that?
After 3 weeks Indiana Jones has made $330 million globally. = Bomb
After 2 months The Flash has made $267 million globally = Bomb
Barbie made $337 million after 3 days = Hit (It’s the most successful film for a female director in history)
Oppenheimer made 174 million in 3 days
Meg 2
Release: September 7th
Budget: $175 million
What do you think this movie is about?
Meg is short for “Megalodon” a giant shark that lived millions of years ago
The first Meg movie was released in 2018. It made $530 million at the global box office and was a big success.
Part 2 will have 3 Megs.
Which film, Part 1 or Part 2, will make more money? (I will disagree with you)